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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)41% (1388–2017, n=3405)46% (560–667, n=1227)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$559K$9.4M$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #9PM monthly #2PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)84% (881 of 1044 open)63% (17 of 27 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Economy −5 pts, n=109—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)30% (won 7% of 1163)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)5% (won 43% of 182)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)5% (won 68% of 179)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)60% (won 97% of 2298)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.1K—Yes $62K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $49KNo $543——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $17KYes $22K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23KYes $15K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $21KYes $3.7K—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19KYes $16—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $18KYes $516—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $15KYes $2.2K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $214No $6.7K——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.2KYes $164—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.3KYes $28—
Hawks vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $1.1K—Hawks $2.7K—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $357Yes $3.4K—
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.1K—Yes $1.9K
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $835—Yes $166
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $128—Yes $525
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $286—Yes $22
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $765K—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $41K—Pistons $204K—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $14KNo $6.5K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.9KNo $12K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $807No $16K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $1.0K—
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $929
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
same side · consensus No
—No $947—No $51