← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1387–2017, n=3404) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | $559K | $11.2M | $4.2M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #149 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (893 of 1056 open) | 50% (11 of 22 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −5 pts, n=106 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 3627 at avg 66¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 7% of 1043) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 177) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 67% of 176) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 97% of 2231) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.