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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1388–2017, n=3405) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $559K | $9.4M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #139 | PM monthly #26 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (882 of 1045 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 61% (173 of 285 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −5 pts, n=109 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 7% of 1163) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 182) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 68% of 179) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 97% of 2298) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.