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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | classified | RN1 | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 69% (305–140, n=445) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2 | $2.7K | -$54K | -$16K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #333 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #217 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (119 of 134 open) | 57% (8 of 14 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=196 | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 1058 at avg 65¢, ROI +2% | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 6% of 323) | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 51% of 45) | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 74% of 38) | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 99% of 652) | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bigggggggg | classified | RN1 | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? same side · consensus No | No $50K | No $23K | — | — |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? same side · consensus No | No $47K | No $19K | — | — |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? same side · consensus No | No $43K | No $7.6K | — | — |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? same side · consensus No | No $43K | No $4.2K | — | — |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? same side · consensus Yes | No $8.1K | No $3.5K | — | — |