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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 20% (1328–5375, n=6703) | 52% (6519–6017, n=12536) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) |
| Consensus PnL | $566K | $3.5M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (140 of 244 open) | 71% (194 of 275 open) | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 57% (17 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −5 pts, n=109 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 7% of 1163) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 182) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 68% of 179) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 97% of 2298) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bigggggggg | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $572 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Brute | — | GenOne $2 | — | Brute $523 |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $173 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $28 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | — | Yes $64K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $16K | — | Yes $11K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.2K | — | Yes $5.4K |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres | — | Juan Bautista Torres $90 | — | Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? same side · consensus No | No $10 | — | No $2.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $270 | — | Over $686 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $46 | — | No $358 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $127 | — | Yes $176 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $174 | — | Under $42 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Julio Cesar Porras $48 | — | Julio Cesar Porras $19 |