← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bilberry | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (2667–2430, n=5097) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 66% (868–456, n=1324) | 47% (14023–15521, n=29544) |
| Consensus PnL | $47K | $11.1M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #925 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (22 of 34 open) | 40% (39 of 97 open) | 73% (16 of 22 open) | 51% (42 of 83 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 3501 at avg 40¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 44% (won 18% of 1527) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 43% of 707) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 62% of 629) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 85% of 638) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.