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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BillBenter2026CORGIIRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)65% (6135–3334, n=9469)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$42K$4.5M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)no open consensus position62% (77 of 125 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA ±0 pts, n=156———
Settled positions, side won87% of 4544 at avg 72¢, ROI +15%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 23% of 204)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 45% of 399)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 84% of 1142)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 99% of 2799)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBillBenter2026CORGIIRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $62—No $24K—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3—Yes $7.4K—
Colts vs. Jaguars
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $464—Colts $271—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7—No $70—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $9—No $15—
Browns vs. Steelers
same side · consensus Steelers
Steelers $29—Steelers $3.6K—
Vikings vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $1.1K—Lions $17—
Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1—Yes $320—