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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BillBenter2026RN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)65% (6139–3342, n=9481)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$42K$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus87% (13 of 15 open)63% (92 of 147 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNBA ±0 pts, n=156—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won87% of 4544 at avg 72¢, ROI +15%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 23% of 204)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 45% of 399)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 84% of 1142)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 99% of 2799)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBillBenter2026RN1beachboy4
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $18No $15K—
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $1.1KFalcons $1.8K—
Titans vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $1.3KTitans $658—
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5Yes $861—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7No $73—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $1.7KCowboys $11K—
Browns vs. Steelers
same side · consensus Steelers
Steelers $583Steelers $5.5K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $8No $2.6K—
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Jets $1.3KJets $192—
Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2Yes $1.1K—
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3No $222—