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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677whig
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)62% (417–254, n=671)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$5.3M$354K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #2was PM monthly #927
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)67% (121 of 181 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (45 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Finance −7 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%47% of 632 at avg 40¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)45% (won 13% of 282)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 43% of 111)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)13% (won 80% of 81)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)25% (won 95% of 158)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677whig
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $120KYes $2.2M—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $39K——Yes $9.8K
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $6.6K—Yes $958
Will FC RFS win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $424—No $773
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K——Yes $146