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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677whosay
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)59% (1247–851, n=2098)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$3.3M-$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #767
Sides with the consensus77% (47 of 61 open)74% (144 of 194 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Tennis −3 pts, n=741
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%59% of 2333 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)11% (won 18% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)26% (won 36% of 603)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)28% (won 58% of 653)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 88% of 826)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677whosay
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $147K76ers $739——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $28K——
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $419—Yes $4.4K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $45976ers $521——
Exact Score: Riga FC 0 - 0 FC RFS?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $508—Yes $446
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63——
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $16KBulls $1.6K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
—Linda Noskova $1.8K—Linda Noskova $2.3K
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2—Yes $809