← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | shineforever | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6563–6075, n=12638) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 53% (72–63, n=135) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $3.2M | $137K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #217 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 73% (105 of 144 open) | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 38% of 123 at avg 36¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 63% (won 4% of 77) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 2% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | shineforever |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | Jaguars $305 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $628 | — | Yes $14K |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $319 | — | Yes $11K |
| Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $357 | — | Yes $9.8K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | Heat $79 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $395 | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |