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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1vtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)47% (315–349, n=664)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$4.6M$169K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #111PM monthly #514
Sides with the consensus80% (43 of 54 open)71% (113 of 160 open)72% (73 of 101 open)62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%45% of 545 at avg 44¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)42% (won 3% of 228)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)17% (won 34% of 93)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)13% (won 79% of 70)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)28% (won 99% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1vtcchampion52
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K76ers $764——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $32K——
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $40076ers $587——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63——
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14KBulls $1.6K——
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $295Yes $6.1K