Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)59% (1248–851, n=2099)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M-$32K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #774
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)67% (97 of 144 open)54% (40 of 74 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Tennis −3 pts, n=741
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%59% of 2333 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)11% (won 18% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)26% (won 36% of 603)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)28% (won 58% of 653)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)35% (won 88% of 826)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1whosay
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2.4K—Texans $7.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $216—Yes $4.5K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $121Seahawks $3.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.6KNo $145—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $769Pistons $307—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Riga FC 0 - 0 FC RFS?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $239—Yes $472
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $499Nets $144—
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $246—Yes $350
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $138—Yes $138
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Temple Owls $4Richmond Spiders $268—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29—
Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $6—Yes $17
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $2—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
——Coco Gauff $44KCoco Gauff $1.5K
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $38KNo $3.5K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $6.4KLakers $89—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $3.7K—
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Richmond Spiders $3.7KRichmond Spiders $674—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $3.4KLakers $569—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $3.2KLakers $676—
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $2.2K—
Will FC RFS win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $132—No $1.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $884Mavericks $228—
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2—Yes $809
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $612Pistons $55—
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $182Lakers $484—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $191Over $186—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—
North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
—Bakersfield Roadrunners $33Bakersfield Roadrunners $141—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $26—