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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGC-Pndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)46% (1167–1345, n=2512)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M-$9.9K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #596PM monthly #146PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)69% (100 of 145 open)74% (35 of 47 open)64% (131 of 206 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)—13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)—20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)—24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)—43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGC-Pndb1RN1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $642KNo $6.2KNo $234KNo $6.5K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.2K—Yes $4.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $690—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $1.5K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $7—Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $96
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $201—Yes $1.3K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $365—Yes $358
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 2 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $474
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $184—Over $90
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $130—No $132
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765KNo $22——
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.4K—Yes $20K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $221—Over $7.9K
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $6.3K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $4.4K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $711—No $5.3K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $735—Under $2.7K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $621—Under $2.4K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $927—Over $486
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $477—Over $248
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Pelicans $228—Pelicans $236
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $298—76ers $149
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Timberwolves $253—Timberwolves $126
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $48—No $73