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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankHaradwaithjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)39% (3348–5215, n=8563)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.3M-$473K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #252PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)74% (566 of 766 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Weather −6 pts, n=584—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%36% of 4042 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)56% (won 3% of 2267)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)4% (won 33% of 170)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)4% (won 48% of 166)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)36% (won 89% of 1439)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankHaradwaithjoseph00677
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KYes $361—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $76KNo $2.2K—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $373—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.9KNo $123—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20KYes $80—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.5KYes $100—