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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 38% (3421–5699, n=9120) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | -$473K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #252 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 73% (571 of 786 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=589 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 37% of 4101 at avg 40¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 56% (won 3% of 2296) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 4% (won 34% of 173) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 4% (won 49% of 168) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 36% (won 89% of 1464) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $409K | Yes $361 | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $77K | No $2.2K | — | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | No $373 | — | — |
| Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee | — | Western Kentucky $555 | Middle Tennessee $5.1K | — |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.9K | No $123 | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $63 | — | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | Yes $100 | — | — |