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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1TeGeeLPWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)97% (441–15, n=456)48% (92–101, n=193)50% (46–46, n=92)59% (296–204, n=500)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$77K$382K$899K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #438PM monthly #230
Sides with the consensus74% (35 of 47 open)65% (112 of 171 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%51% of 90 at avg 47¢, ROI +15%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)1% (won 100% of 3)16% (won 36% of 14)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)26% (won 100% of 62)44% (won 43% of 40)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)40% (won 100% of 95)32% (won 62% of 29)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)33% (won 100% of 80)8% (won 86% of 7)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1TeGeeLPWiretransferxyz
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $343KSpurs $1.2K——
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Warriors $85KPelicans $129——
Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $3.5K——
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Suns $654Spurs $520——
Grizzlies vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $397KGrizzlies $16K——
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $227KBills $3.1K——
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
same side · consensus Vikings
Bills $38KBills $792——
Spread: Bills (-1.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $15KBills $3.1K——
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $2Rockets $1.9K——