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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 39% (291–447, n=738) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $14.8M | $34K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #118 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 55% (75 of 136 open) | 83% (350 of 422 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $30K | Pelicans $125 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $135 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | No $1.6K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.6K | — | No $1.4K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $323 | Pelicans $143 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $182K | — | No $81 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | No $1.7K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | No $1.6K |