← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 39% (291–447, n=738) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $14.8M | $34K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #118 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 68% (125 of 185 open) | 61% (66 of 108 open) | 83% (350 of 423 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | No $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.6K | — | — | No $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $301 | No $2.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $274 | Under $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | No $529 | — |
| Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $455 | Under $259 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $182K | — | — | No $81 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | — | No $1.7K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | — | No $1.6K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | — | Quentin Halys $895 | Quentin Halys $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $1.6K | Lakers $3 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $911 | Under $506 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.2K | Spurs $183 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $42 | No $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $943 | Lakers $13 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $720 | Under $20 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Clippers $88 | Clippers $215 | — |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $239 | Under $46 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $10 | Yes $162 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | Over $28 | — |