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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankch27erferrariChampions2026primm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)54% (50–42, n=92)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$27K-$8.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #522was PM monthly #87PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus86% (37 of 43 open)33% (1 of 3 open)74% (28 of 38 open)54% (7 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +46 pts n=19, ROI +43%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%97% of 31 at avg 55¢, ROI +42%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 100% of 6)26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)81% (won 96% of 25)40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankch27erferrariChampions2026primm
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294K—Texans $55KTexans $1.3K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124K—Seahawks $29KCardinals $5.7K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100K—Texans $36KTexans $1.3K
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14K—Under $11KUnder $1.5K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9K—Chargers $26Texans $1.6K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $5.7KBulls $9.8K—
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143K—Patriots $10K—
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Seahawks $1.4KCardinals $6.1K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Seahawks $76Cardinals $1.6K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $1.3KCardinals $258
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104K——Packers $80K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
——49ers $41K49ers $85K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $7.0KBulls $10K——