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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | classified | HomeRunHazard | JamesAltucher | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (524–18, n=542) | 59% (242–170, n=412) | 97% (585–18, n=603) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $783K | $2.3M | -$9 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #340 | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #531 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (33 of 40 open) | 70% (19 of 27 open) | 69% (41 of 59 open) | 100% (8 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 149 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 2% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 43% (won 100% of 64) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 42% (won 100% of 62) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 13% (won 100% of 20) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | classified | HomeRunHazard | JamesAltucher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Bills $406K | — | Vikings $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $375K | — | Vikings $899 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $322K | — | Vikings $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) same side · consensus Vikings | Bills $63K | — | Bills $146 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-12.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $107 | — | Warriors $1.4K | — |