← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | sainttroplay | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 37% (1431–2387, n=3818) | no settled market | 50% (19442–19516, n=38958) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $31K | — | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #129 | — | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 83% (220 of 264 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (30 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | — | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | — | 7% (won 99% of 2777) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | — | 20% (won 100% of 8217) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | — | 22% (won 100% of 8818) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | — | 51% (won 100% of 20793) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.