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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677PT-S7RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (480–479, n=959)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$5.3M-$86K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #3PM monthly #825PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)0% (0 of 1 open)50% (8 of 16 open)60% (37 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 76¢, ROI +20%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)1% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 41)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)75% (won 100% of 161)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677PT-S7RN1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.1M—No $45K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $17Yes $16K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Ben Shelton $120Carlos Alcaraz $12K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $85No $8.5K
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $23Yes $5.8K
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $475
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4Yes $172
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
——Toby Samuel $457Toby Samuel $31K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $386Yes $7.8K
Bengals vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $55Falcons $1.3K