← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | sainttroplay | zerone777 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | no settled market | 39% (336–528, n=864) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | — | $144K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | — | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (39 of 56 open) | 71% (25 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (24 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Mentions −2 pts, n=47 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — | 39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | — | 56% (won 1% of 189) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | — | 2% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | — | 5% (won 61% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | — | 36% (won 97% of 120) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.