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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (15489–15567, n=31056)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #60PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)60% (100 of 168 open)no open consensus position57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0KYes $157——
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $95—Tom Gentzsch $29
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Philip Henning $2—Carlo Alberto Caniato $74
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23KYes $122——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $223——
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $247—Anastasia Zakharova $13K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4KYes $65——
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $201—Otto Virtanen $1.7K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $59——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $41——