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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | UpTheBlues | xxNyx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 49% (20671–21624, n=42295) | 85% (1341–240, n=1581) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.6M | $1.4M | $88K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #63 | PM monthly #8 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (28 of 32 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 69% (31 of 45 open) | 93% (64 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Tech −1 pts, n=56 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 81% of 1891 at avg 79¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) | 13% (won 9% of 251) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) | 5% (won 52% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) | 6% (won 57% of 109) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) | 76% (won 97% of 1440) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | UpTheBlues | xxNyx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $39K | — | — | Yes $2.0K |