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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankrainbowliliesRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)43% (2875–3863, n=6738)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market
Consensus PnL$11.2M$162K$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #573PM monthly #24 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus50% (11 of 22 open)34% (67 of 198 open)64% (107 of 167 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • MLB +5 pts n=157, ROI 0%
  • Mentions +2 pts n=678, ROI +2%
  • NBA +2 pts n=374, ROI 0%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=492——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%7% of 5559 at avg 5¢, ROI 0%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)96% (won 5% of 5354)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)2% (won 37% of 105)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)1% (won 68% of 66)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)1% (won 85% of 34)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankrainbowliliesRN1sainttroplay
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—No $146—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $250——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $27——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0KYes $137——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $164Yes $3——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $80Yes $12——