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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.
| BreakTheBank | UpTheBlues | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 50% (19440–19510, n=38950) | 39% (291–447, n=738) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.1M | $34K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #118 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 58% (48 of 83 open) | 83% (350 of 424 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | UpTheBlues | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | No $1.6K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.6K | — | No $1.4K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $182K | — | No $81 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | No $1.7K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | No $1.6K |