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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | UpTheBlues | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 51% (28105–27112, n=55217) | 28% (321–846, n=1167) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $14.8M | $1.4M | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #85 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 64% (44 of 69 open) | 56% (9 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Elections −1 pts, n=182 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 40% of 481 at avg 41¢, ROI +13% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) | 53% (won 3% of 257) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) | 6% (won 32% of 28) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) | 7% (won 63% of 35) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) | 33% (won 95% of 161) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UpTheBlues | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $6 | No $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $27 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $71 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $60 | No $174 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $29 | Under $12 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | Over $5 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Browns $4.2K | Browns $65 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | Under $872 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $1.6K | Falcons $27 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $41 | Under $801 | — |