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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (545–663, n=1208) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (358–220, n=578) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.4M | $321K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #543 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (75 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (13 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 47% of 615 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 0% | 46% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 24% (won 95% of 150) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | whig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $231K | — | Yes $2.9K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $183K | — | Yes $6.1K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $39K | — | Yes $234 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $33K | — | Yes $759 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | — | Yes $3.6K |