← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | whig | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 62% (358–221, n=579) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.1M | $321K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #543 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (125 of 172 open) | 79% (44 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 47% of 615 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 46% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 95% of 150) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | whig |
|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $943K | Yes $2.7K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $268K | Yes $342 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $77K | No $1.9K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $30K | Yes $302 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $178K | Yes $5.9K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $92K | Yes $1.7K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $46K | Yes $235 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $43K | Yes $478 |