← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BunCaCham | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (2613–69, n=2682) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) |
| Consensus PnL | -$132K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #839 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (10 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Esports ±0 pts, n=908 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 2645 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 12% of 25) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 65% of 31) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 97% (won 99% of 2562) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.