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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Cannae | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (5944–5595, n=11539) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $13.4M | $4.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #970 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (29 of 47 open) | 66% (101 of 153 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 8672 at avg 61¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 99% of 778) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 1843) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 100% of 2554) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 3497) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Cannae | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.9K | No $15K | — | — |
| Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $79 | Yes $13K | — | — |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $783 | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $527 | No $2.6K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $274 | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $318 | No $1.5K | — | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $423 | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $39 | Yes $861 | — | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | Under $5.9K | — | — |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $94 | No $5.6K | — | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) same side · consensus Toulouse FC | Toulouse FC $87 | Toulouse FC $1.8K | — | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $628 | No $73 | — | — |
| Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $27 | No $368 | — | — |
| Will LDU Quito win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $194 | No $44 | — | — |
| Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $103 | Yes $25 | — | — |