← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Car | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (2280–1082, n=3362) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 47% (13853–15337, n=29190) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #886 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (115 of 171 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 89% (141 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Tech ±0 pts, n=138 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 4238 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 7% of 1259) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 46% of 322) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 67% of 369) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 97% of 2288) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Car | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $256 | — | — | No $292K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | — | — | No $32K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | — | Yes $172K |