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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CunglyBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)64% (375–210, n=585)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$37K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus44% (12 of 27 open)73% (70 of 96 open)no open consensus position53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicGeopolitics −1 pts, n=359———
Settled positions, side won58% of 782 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 9% of 255)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 37% of 63)36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 61% of 49)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up53% (won 92% of 415)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCunglyBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.9KNo $184K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.6KYes $77K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4KNo $35K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.8KYes $1.1K——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $147Yes $4.1K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $215No $590——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.5KYes $169K——