← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DEGENKHAN | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (601–304, n=905) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (82 of 88 open) | 79% (56 of 71 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −1 pts, n=138 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 1586 at avg 65¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 7% of 493) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 49% of 35) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 61% of 44) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 98% of 1014) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DEGENKHAN | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52 | Yes $22K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $15K | — | — |