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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dropper | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (681–243, n=924) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #813 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Esports −4 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 1096 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 16% of 248) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 49% of 102) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 69% of 117) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 98% of 629) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dropper | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $30K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $16K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | No $32K | — | — |