← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dropper | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (688–245, n=933) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #813 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 89% (127 of 142 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | Esports −4 pts, n=12 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 1096 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 16% of 248) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 49% of 102) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 69% of 117) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 98% of 629) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dropper | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $30K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $16K | Yes $33K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | No $32K | — | — |