Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMadridTimendb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)51% (797–781, n=1578)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M-$13K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #666PM monthly #139PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (267 of 410 open)42% (81 of 192 open)73% (33 of 45 open)60% (171 of 285 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 100% of 26)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)17% (won 100% of 85)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)19% (won 100% of 94)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)59% (won 100% of 296)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

117 on the same side, 127 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMadridTimendb1RN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $115KNo $3.1K—Yes $31K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $22KUnder $400—Under $423
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0KNo $1.1K—No $13K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14KNo $210—Yes $378
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14KOver $350—Under $588
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $66—Over $1.2K
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13KNo $5—Yes $104
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $5.5KTomas Machac $4.0K—Tomas Machac $2.3K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3KNo $623—No $8.8K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $68Under $549—Over $9.7K
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2KNo $5—No $8.6K
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Betis Balompié
Real Betis Balompié $8.9KBV Borussia 09 Dortmund $378—Real Betis Balompié $12
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8.2KNo $223—No $66
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.4KNo $30—No $682
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.1KUnder $2—Over $3.1K
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.6KYes $244—No $1.7K
Will PSV vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.7KYes $61—No $2.3K
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SSC Napoli
SSC Napoli $5.4KFC Porto $458—SSC Napoli $183
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.4KYes $299—No $16
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.8KUnder $495—Under $107
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $513Under $77—Over $4.2K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9KUnder $12—Over $1.7K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.4KUnder $104—Under $1.1K
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester City FC
Manchester City FC $2.9KRB Leipzig $438—Manchester City FC $55
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2KEduardo Ribeiro $646—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Solana Sierra $286Leyre Romero Gormaz $2.3K—Solana Sierra $476
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.9KOver $14—Under $29
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1KUnder $117—Over $1.6K
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3KNo $77—Yes $35
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KNo $34—No $734
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8KUnder $58—Under $29
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KUnder $2—Over $638
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $100Yes $8—No $1.7K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17Yes $16—No $1.7K
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7KUnder $8—Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KOver $31—Under $332
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3KUnder $57—Over $6
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $896Under $20—Under $52
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $263Under $17—Under $470
PSV leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $554No $5—Yes $88
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $371No $34—No $25
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Barrios
Tomas Barrios $127Tomas Barrios $17—Lautaro Midon $260
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 0 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $298Yes $25—Yes $57
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $114No $71—Yes $143
Will Reading FC win on 2026-09-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $228No $10—Yes $69
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $87Under $7—Under $2
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14No $25—No $36
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $25Under $35—Under $2
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $101KNo $431—No $4.4K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $40KNo $32K—No $6.5K