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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)50% (93–93, n=186)42% (102–142, n=244)47% (158–181, n=339)no settled market
Consensus PnL$41K$263K-$54K—
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #29PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus62% (28 of 45 open)67% (10 of 15 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • NBA +51 pts n=35, ROI +40%
  • NFL +55 pts n=19, ROI +51%
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)11% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)52% (won 100% of 46)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)30% (won 100% of 27)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)7% (won 100% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1UpTheBlues
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland Pilots
Portland Pilots $3.3KHawaii Rainbow Warriors $15Portland Pilots $39—
Brisbane 3: August Holmgren vs Philip Sekulic
opposite sides · consensus Philip Sekulic
August Holmgren $303Philip Sekulic $1.7KPhilip Sekulic $128—
Brisbane 3: Christian Langmo vs Ymerali Ibraimi
opposite sides · consensus Christian Langmo
Ymerali Ibraimi $116Christian Langmo $106Christian Langmo $1.7K—
W75 Brisbane: Sohyun Park vs Naiktha Bains
opposite sides · consensus Sohyun Park
Naiktha Bains $260Sohyun Park $355Naiktha Bains $189—
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Daniel Michalski
same side · consensus Rio Noguchi
Rio Noguchi $379Rio Noguchi $2.5KRio Noguchi $2.7K—
Matsuyama: Ryuki Matsuda vs Max Schoenhaus
same side · consensus Max Schoenhaus
Max Schoenhaus $189Max Schoenhaus $1.9KMax Schoenhaus $1.2K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander Shevchenko $345Adrian Mannarino $3.2K——
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland Pilots
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $185Portland Pilots $2.8K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $205Lorenzo Sonego $437——
Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 158.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $91Over $178——