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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (15 of 40 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (64 of 118 open) | 74% (14 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $9 | — | Bills $2.5K | Bills $282 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $3.8K | — | Cardinals $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $647 | Bills $4.5K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $2.1K |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $59 | — | Over $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $8 | — | Cardinals $2.2K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.2K | Over $8 |
| Chargers vs. Rams opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $1.0K | — | — | Rams $123 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $434 | Under $65 |
| Spread: Bills (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $2 | — | Ravens $93 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.2K | Under $2.8K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.2K | Under $261 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $629 | Cardinals $1.0K |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $102 | — | Yes $934 | — |
| Spread: Titans (-2.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $3 | — | Titans $766 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $93 | Bills $662 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | Under $213 | — |