← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | RN1 | beachboy4 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 37% (18 of 49 open) | 58% (89 of 153 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | RN1 | beachboy4 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.5K | Raiders $4.3K | — | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.9K | Over $902 | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $3.8K | Cardinals $1.4K | — | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $59 | Over $3.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $71 | Raiders $2.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $8 | Cardinals $2.2K | — | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $10 | Under $7.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $734 | Steelers $1.9K | — | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $102 | Yes $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $9 | Bills $1.3K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | Under $213 | — | — |
| Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $15 | Under $5 | — | — |