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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JJo | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (678–426, n=1104) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $268K | $4.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (35 of 39 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=296 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1366 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 7% of 424) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 32% of 88) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 59% of 92) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 762) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JJo | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | — | — | No $412K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.5K | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $10 | — | — | No $214K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $820 | — | — | No $102K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $7.2K | — | — | No $40K |