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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LeLynxMalynxBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)60% (22018–14517, n=36535)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$13K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #961PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus61% (36 of 59 open)74% (73 of 98 open)no open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +7 pts n=244, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +3 pts n=897, ROI +2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=119, ROI +3%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicCollege Football −5 pts, n=556———
Settled positions, side won56% of 8896 at avg 57¢, ROI −1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 27% of 868)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 42% of 3103)36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 57% of 2283)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 81% of 2642)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLeLynxMalynxBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $102——Over $3.2K
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $24——Over $3.0K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $24——Rams $1.0K
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $67——Rams $849
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $19——Rams $4
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $41Commanders $258K——
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Commanders $50Commanders $70K——
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $23——Dolphins $1.1K
Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $77——Over $22