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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (5630–4163, n=9793) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 54% (64 of 118 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite | Andre Souza $12 | — | Wilson Leite $12K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | — | No $2.6K | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | No $26K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $272 | — | No $6.7K | — |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $417 | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $323 | — | No $516 | — |