← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Logan. | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (325–653, n=978) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $354K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (78 of 96 open) | 90% (147 of 163 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=135 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 1089 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 58% (won 7% of 634) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 43% of 164) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 75% of 103) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 94% of 188) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Logan. | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.3K | Yes $31K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $38K | No $676K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $445 | Yes $69K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $37 | Yes $29K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $300 | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $433 | Yes $14K | — | — |