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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MiojinhoBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)70% (71–30, n=101)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$57K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #767PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)70% (57 of 82 open)63% (87 of 138 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won60% of 116 at avg 50¢, ROI +11%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 17% of 42)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 67% of 15)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 73% of 15)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 95% of 44)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMiojinhoBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $300KSteelers $51—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $259KSteelers $3.4K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $105KJets $255—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $32KCowboys $23—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $2.7KCowboys $611—