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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Monopoly_Money | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (161–47, n=208) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$22K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (10 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 67% (14 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=27 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 185 at avg 65¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 18% of 33) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 79% of 19) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 71% of 31) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 94% of 102) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Monopoly_Money | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $11K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $36K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | No $102K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $29K | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |