Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MoondBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)71% (995–402, n=1397)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$144K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus91% (10 of 11 open)73% (72 of 98 open)56% (35 of 62 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicElections −5 pts, n=42———
Settled positions, side won69% of 1209 at avg 63¢, ROI +6%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 16% of 174)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 51% of 176)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 71% of 286)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 89% of 573)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMoondBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.6KNo $184K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $9.4KYes $77K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0KYes $169K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—