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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| MrClaude11 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (264–238, n=502) | 41% (1101–1609, n=2710) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $2.9M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #884 | PM monthly #410 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 53% (31 of 58 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=86 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 489 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% | — | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 20% of 60) | — | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 39% of 165) | — | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 61% of 197) | — | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 93% of 67) | — | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MrClaude11 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.3K | Yes $274K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $214 | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $348 | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3.8K | Yes $33K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $885 | No $28K |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $897 | Yes $22K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $161 | Yes $2.6K |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9 | Yes $230 |